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Change in National Trends Adversely Impact Survival in Stage IV Gastric Cancer
Anna M. Leung*1, Danielle M. Hari1, Connie Chiu1, Anton Bilchik1,2
1Department of Surgery, John Wayne Cancer Institute, Santa Monica, CA; 2Surgery, California Oncology Research Institute, Santa Monica, CA

Background: With more effective systemic chemotherapy, the role for palliative gastrectomy in patients with Stage IV gastric cancer has been questioned.

Methods: Using the National Cancer Data Base we identified 29,655 patients with Stage IV gastric cancer over a 14 year period (1994-2008). Patient demographics, tumor related features, and treatments were analyzed. Overall survival rates were examined using log-rank test power analysis.

Results: There was a decrease in surgical resection from 31.2% in 2000 to 22% in 2008 (p<0.0001), a decrease in radiation from 20% in 2000 to 18.5% in 2008 (p= 0.0009), and an increase in systemic therapy from 45.5% in 2000 to 55.1% in 2008 (p<0.001). There were no differences in gender, age, or histology, but there was a decreasing trend of Caucasians diagnosed (p<0.0001). Survival rates decreased significantly over time p<0.05 (see table below).

Conclusions: Over the past 14 years there has been an increase in the use of systemic chemotherapy and a reduction in palliative gastrectomy for stage IV gastric cancer. The negative impact on survival suggests that treatment pathways be reevaluated.

Observed Survival for Stage IV Gastric CA over time (1994-1997) vs (1998-2002)
Year of DiagnosisTotal patients 1 year (% survival) 2 year (% survival) 3 year (% survival) 4 year (% survival) 5 year (% survival) 95% Confidence Interval p-value
(1994-1997)12,132 23.8 12.1 9.1 7.8 6.0 5.6-6.4 p<0.05
(1998-2002)17,523 22.6 8.4 5.0 3.6 2.9 2.7-3.2 p<0.05


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